Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.000533 0.000607 0.000686 0.000775 0.000874 0.000979 0.001099
2026-02-01 0.000418 0.000519 0.000635 0.000774 0.000938 0.001122 0.001345
2026-02-08 0.000342 0.000453 0.000585 0.000751 0.000954 0.001191 0.001487
2026-02-15 0.000287 0.000402 0.000545 0.000732 0.000968 0.001253 0.001619
2026-02-22 0.000251 0.000369 0.000521 0.000728 0.000996 0.001328 0.001764
2026-03-01 0.000222 0.000342 0.000502 0.000726 0.001024 0.001402 0.001909
2026-03-08 0.000195 0.000314 0.000479 0.000716 0.001039 0.001458 0.002030
2026-03-15 0.000171 0.000289 0.000456 0.000703 0.001049 0.001505 0.002140
2026-03-22 0.000160 0.000280 0.000456 0.000722 0.001100 0.001608 0.002325
2026-03-29 0.000147 0.000269 0.000451 0.000732 0.001140 0.001695 0.002490
2026-04-05 0.000132 0.000251 0.000434 0.000723 0.001152 0.001745 0.002606
2026-04-12 0.000119 0.000235 0.000419 0.000716 0.001164 0.001794 0.002721
2026-04-19 0.000110 0.000225 0.000413 0.000723 0.001198 0.001876 0.002885
2026-04-26 0.000100 0.000213 0.000403 0.000723 0.001223 0.001945 0.003032
2026-05-03 0.000087 0.000195 0.000381 0.000701 0.001211 0.001960 0.003102
2026-05-10 0.000077 0.000179 0.000362 0.000683 0.001205 0.001983 0.003184
2026-05-17 0.000069 0.000169 0.000351 0.000679 0.001219 0.002035 0.003309
2026-05-24 0.000063 0.000160 0.000343 0.000677 0.001237 0.002093 0.003443
2026-05-31 0.000057 0.000150 0.000330 0.000668 0.001242 0.002131 0.003547
2026-06-07 0.000051 0.000140 0.000317 0.000656 0.001242 0.002161 0.003639
2026-06-14 0.000048 0.000138 0.000320 0.000673 0.001291 0.002267 0.003850
2026-06-21 0.000046 0.000135 0.000319 0.000683 0.001327 0.002354 0.004032
2026-06-28 0.000041 0.000127 0.000309 0.000675 0.001333 0.002393 0.004142